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Los Angeles Election Analysis

I'm glad I don't have to write a political analysis, because I'm busy today, and an already excellent one has been written by Solomon Wolfson.


  • Measure B is on life support, likely to be removed within 36 hours.
  • CD5 will see a runoff between David Vahedi and Paul Koretz. Smart money says the neighborhoods take this one.

[Indeed. Koretz faces an uphill battle against Vahedi in a runoff. The Times endorsement of Galperin did not even move that candidate into the money. It may, however, have kept far-fresher candidate Ritter-Simon out of it. Bleich was never a factor.]
  • Jack Weiss faces a runoff battle against Carmen Trutanich. I say May 19th will be Jack's last election night party in this town for some time.
[Not sure about that. Trutanich now faces further stress-testing. The best argument benefitting Trutanich that emerged in this cycle---that a Villaraigosa-Weiss-Greuel troika running City Hall would be dangerous---is a spurious, even an artificial one.]

But I do have time to say some things about media and this election.

In media, the voters and especially the legions of nonvoters have heaped considerable shame on local self-appointed legends of their own minds for not treating this election like a real election. They have voted with their ears and eyeballs largely against.

It has been only embarrassing to watch these old men---and yes, they are all old men---further and further contort themselves to do the bidding of the most empowered at the expense of the democratic process. But things have at last reached the tipping point, and even political consultants who are used to banking on messaging something through a Roderick, a Cooper, a Newton or an Olney have already been obliged to retool and are doing things very differently now, reaching to unexpected corners.

This election cycle was most unkind of all to the old machine's most dependable media friends, leaving them even further diminished than ever before. It's hoped that they'll evolve---that bitter Kevin Roderick will acknowedge voices he doesn't like, that stodgy Warren Olney won't continue to hemorrhage listeners with his insistence that guests remain kind to his friends, that Jim Newton will wake up and realize that he's protecting a bunch of people who know news and news analysis but don't know much about effective opinion writing, that whiny Marc Cooper stop looking to vilify the Weekly and start doing real journalism again. All these things need to happen for these men to remain important to the City as something other than stooges for political consultants. I have high hopes for all but one.